Interacted two-stage least squares with treatment effect heterogeneity

Statistical Seminar-2

Organizer：

Yunan Wu 吴宇楠（YMSC）

Speaker：

Fan Li

Duke University

Time：

Fri., 16:00-17:00, Mar. 14, 2025

Venue：

C654, Shuangqing Complex Building A

Title:

Interacted two-stage least squares with treatment effect heterogeneity

Abstract：

Treatment effect heterogeneity with respect to covariates is common in instrumental variable (IV) analyses. An intuitive approach, which we term the interacted two-stage least squares (2SLS), is to postulate a linear working model of the outcome on the treatment, covariates, and treatment-covariate interactions, and instrument it by the IV, covariates, and IV-covariate interactions. We clarify the causal interpretation of the interacted 2SLS under the local average treatment effect (LATE) framework when the IV is valid conditional on covariates. Our contributions are threefold. First, we show that the interacted 2SLS with centered covariates is consistent for estimating the LATE if either of the following conditions holds: (i) the treatment-covariate interactions are linear in the covariates; (ii) the linear outcome model underlying the interacted 2SLS is correct. Second, we show that the coefficients of the treatment-covariate interactions from the interacted 2SLS are consistent for estimating treatment effect heterogeneity with regard to covariates among compliers if either condition (i) or condition (ii) holds. Moreover, we connect the 2SLS estimator with the reweighting perspective in Abadie (2003) and establish the necessity of condition (i) in the absence of additional assumptions on potential outcomes. Third, leveraging the consistency guarantees of the interacted 2SLS for categorical covariates, we propose a stratification strategy based on the IV propensity score to approximate the LATE and treatment effect heterogeneity with regard to the IV propensity score when neither condition (i) nor condition (ii) holds.